Wednesday, February 27, 2008

Now it's Global Cooling???

OK, this is getting crazy. What happened to an Inconvenient Truth Mr Gore? I thought we had PROOF?

Now I see Andrew Bolts Blog in the CM that says:


DailyTech reports:
All four major global temperature tracking outlets (Hadley, NASA’s GISS, UAH, RSS) have released updated data. All show that over the past year, global temperatures have dropped precipitously.
Meteorologist
Anthony Watts compiled the results of all the sources. The total amount of cooling ranges from 0.65C up to 0.75C—a value large enough to erase nearly all the global warming recorded over the past 100 years. All in one year time. For all sources, it’s the single fastest temperature change ever recorded, either up or down.
Check the graphics of
data from the four big monitoring centres here.
UPDATE
Another warming scare - this one peddled by Al Gore - bites the dust:
A team of scientists have found that the economic damages from hurricanes have increased in the U.S. over time due to greater population, infrastructure, and wealth on the U.S. coastlines, and
not to any spike in the number or intensity of hurricanes.
Alarmist Tim Flannery should also read this report ... and apologise for having spread the warming scare with this claim:
As it has warmed over the past decade, the world has seen the most powerful El Nino ever recorded (1997-98),
the most devastating hurricanes in 200 years (Mitch 1998, Katrina 2005), the hottest European summer on record (2003) and the first South Atlantic hurricane ever.
In fact, as this NOAA report says, Katrina was the “most devastating” only because there was more to damage where it hit (even overlooking the fact that the worst damage was in fact caused not by the hurricane itself but a breached levee). “Most devastating” is a meaningless term in assessing whether global warming is making hurricanes worse:
The results illustrate the effects of the tremendous pace of growth in vulnerable hurricane areas. If the 1926 Great Miami Hurricane were to hit today, the study estimated it would cause the largest losses at $140 billion to $157 billion, with Hurricane Katrina second on the list at $81 billion.


I have been saying for ages that the CORRELATION between our man made co2 outputs, and a rise in global temperatures in the EXTREMELY recent past does not mean there is CAUSATION. The UN’s panel of scientists put out consensus reports, based on limited data. Even with EXTENSIVE data, how hard is it to get scientists to agree on causation? How has it come about that these scientists have the appearance of such unilateral agreement on such a massivley complicated and poorly understood area? On the data, it would have been cavalier in the extreme to ignore the POSSIBILITY we had something to do with the rise in temperatures, but everyone seemed to just leap to us being the sole or substantial cause with very little in the way of robust debate or exploration of alternatives.

Are you all as sick as me of adamant scientists being utterly wrong in light of later discoveries and new data? Why can’t they just say “Look, we don’t really know. For THESE reasons, it looks like THIS might be what’s going on - but we need to know more about THIS stuff before we can really say. In the meantime, it might be prudent to start doing stuff like THIS, but don’t go nuts til’ we know a little more OK?”

Oh no no no. That won’t sell papers, or raise funds, or fuel agenda driven lobbying so someone always finds enough credible looking propeller heads to say what they need them to say to advance their particular goals.

And we poor slobs never really know what the hell is actually going on.

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